Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 8.958351 10.048820 11.288271 12.816550 14.671789 16.879784 19.751380
2024-12-29 7.516859 8.970681 10.790404 13.298633 16.775398 21.609909 29.222375
2025-01-05 6.380196 7.884609 9.875751 12.813949 17.255454 24.149972 36.763290
2025-01-12 5.566448 7.044744 9.078612 12.230785 17.316784 25.935745 43.893182
2025-01-19 5.008927 6.462294 8.526296 11.859985 17.553459 28.008783 52.777736
2025-01-26 4.653754 6.113746 8.250715 11.844116 18.343248 31.336378 67.002050
2025-02-02 4.587959 6.168829 8.575289 12.845608 21.209711 40.166249 106.554780
2025-02-09 4.444460 6.086806 8.666873 13.453726 23.497351 49.061818 165.291088
2025-02-16 4.216895 5.850028 8.473491 13.500368 24.605922 55.608401 234.838053
2025-02-23 4.091097 5.760393 8.512440 13.991628 26.887773 67.498189 408.737940
2025-03-02 3.814389 5.403843 8.052732 13.412738 26.380215 69.525370 513.201179
2025-03-09 3.644894 5.210745 7.862515 13.360713 27.235519 77.639920 835.982163
2025-03-16 3.451325 4.982294 7.620373 13.238463 28.105411 88.066286 1723.565156
2025-03-23 3.348976 4.903166 7.649980 13.737306 31.069289 114.294782 14939.519266
2025-03-30 3.137697 4.619916 7.266517 13.228629 30.738858 121.778974 233725.733336
2025-04-06 2.936027 4.339939 6.864618 12.617646 29.890315 125.132352 NaN
2025-04-13 2.777885 4.126320 6.572962 12.229504 29.699014 133.876877 NaN
2025-04-20 2.673538 4.000833 6.441999 12.212900 30.843069 157.423102 NaN
2025-04-27 2.681627 4.075882 6.715006 13.261792 36.618047 258.609848 NaN
2025-05-04 2.646200 4.068570 6.819364 13.899604 41.278744 402.119686 NaN
2025-05-11 2.563165 3.967124 6.716383 13.948551 43.331451 533.201208 NaN
2025-05-18 2.521942 3.941262 6.771953 14.464331 48.197620 919.767283 NaN
2025-05-25 2.400384 3.755718 6.464861 13.856593 46.586973 948.156566 NaN